Journal

Intelligence, in long form.

Essays on football, machine learning and the operating discipline behind FPF.

Football Intelligence

Why xG isn't enough anymore — and what comes next.

We break down the limitations of expected goals in isolation, and show how tactical fit and momentum signals reshape the picture.

8 min readRead essay
Latest

Fresh from the desk.

AI News

Ensembles that argue with themselves.

How adversarial confidence checks improved calibration by 14%.

6 minRead
Company

Q3 platform update.

New live match center, updated confidence engine, expanded coverage.

4 minRead
Football Intelligence

The market moves. Do you?

Detecting sharp odds movement and its predictive value in-play.

7 minRead
AI News

Explainability without noise.

Cutting SHAP outputs down to the three signals that actually matter.

5 minRead
Company

Welcoming our new Head of Research.

Building the next generation of the FPF decision stack.

3 minRead
Football Intelligence

Fatigue as a feature.

Load, rest and rotation — modeling the human side of the game.

9 minRead